Myanmar's deadly spiral: One year after coup, can civil war be avoided?
FRANCE24, 02 Feb 2022
Is there no stopping all-out civil war in Myanmar? On the first anniversary of the coup that ended power sharing between Ang Saan Suu Chi's National League for Democracy and a military whose candidates had just gotten trounced in a general election, a silent strike to protest the brutal crackdown against the call to return to civilian rule. Can peaceful protest still work?
We take stock of a vicious spiral after a year where violence has increasingly begat violence. What to make of the coalition of longtime rebel groups in the hinterlands with the nascent People's Defence Force? Is the all-out civil war already here?
And what about the reaction of the outside world? Targeted sanctions have yet to move the needle it seems. Will the recent pullout by oil giants Total and Chevron make a difference? We also ask what neighbours Thailand, China and India think.
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